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class="main"> <div id="kz5jjfn0" class="main-left"> <div id="kz5jjfn0" class="article"> <script type="text/javascript">s("title_top");</script> <h1 class="title">經(jīng)濟(jì)放緩就業(yè)能否頂?shù)米。?/h1> <div id="kz5jjfn0" class="info"> <span id="kz5jjfn0" class="time">時(shí)間：2023-05-05 03:16:22 </span> <span id="kz5jjfn0" class="sm_after_time"></span> <span id="kz5jjfn0" class="source"><a target="_blank" href="http://m.oriental01.com/jiuye/cankao/" title="就業(yè)參考">就業(yè)參考</a></span> <span id="kz5jjfn0" class="source"><a target="_blank" href="http://m.oriental01.com/usr/login.html" title="我要投稿">我要投稿</a></span> </div> <script type="text/javascript">s("content_top");</script> <div id="kz5jjfn0" class="content"> <div id="kz5jjfn0" class="excellent_articles_box"> <ul> <li id="kz5jjfn0" class="excellent_articles_title">相關(guān)推薦</li> </ul> </div> <p>經(jīng)濟(jì)放緩就業(yè)能否頂?shù)米。?/p><p> 國(guó)家統(tǒng)計(jì)局15日發(fā)布數(shù)據(jù)顯示，一季度國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行總體平穩(wěn)，初步核算，一季度國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值118855億元，按可比價(jià)格計(jì)算，同比增長(zhǎng)7.7%。與2012年四季度相比，下降了0.2%，低于市場(chǎng)8%的預(yù)期。面對(duì)全年新增就業(yè)900萬(wàn)目標(biāo)的壓力，特別是今年699萬(wàn)的大學(xué)畢業(yè)生，中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)能否撐得住?</p><p style="text-align: center;"><img loading="lazy" src="https://p.9136.com/00/l/becdd2b509_5fbf7eba474bc.jpg" alt="經(jīng)濟(jì)放緩就業(yè)能否頂?shù)米。?/></p> <p>　<strong>　不會(huì)引發(fā)就業(yè)大幅放緩</strong></p> <p>　　在傳統(tǒng)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)里面，GDP每增加一個(gè)百分點(diǎn)大概能帶動(dòng)120萬(wàn)人的就業(yè)。</p> <p>　　“在經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)軌階段，第二產(chǎn)業(yè)比較發(fā)達(dá)的時(shí)候，這個(gè)定律比較適用。但現(xiàn)在中國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)在調(diào)整，第三產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展迅速，就業(yè)人數(shù)和GDP增長(zhǎng)之間的比例關(guān)系會(huì)跟以往有較大不同�！敝袊�(guó)勞動(dòng)學(xué)會(huì)副會(huì)長(zhǎng)蘇海南告訴記者，在當(dāng)下中國(guó)，經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)每降低一個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，不會(huì)導(dǎo)致那么多的失業(yè)人數(shù)。</p> <p>　　中國(guó)人民大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院教授陳享光曾做過(guò)一個(gè)測(cè)算，中國(guó)“九五”時(shí)期平均就業(yè)彈性系數(shù)為0.14，“十五”時(shí)期就業(yè)彈性系數(shù)為0.12，2008年為0.08，即GDP每增長(zhǎng)一個(gè)百分點(diǎn)僅能帶動(dòng)80萬(wàn)個(gè)就業(yè)。</p> <p>　　2012年中國(guó)GDP比上年增長(zhǎng)7.8%，是進(jìn)入1999年以來(lái)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增速的最低值，但這樣的情況下還是實(shí)現(xiàn)了當(dāng)年城鎮(zhèn)新增就業(yè)1266萬(wàn)人，為過(guò)去9年來(lái)的最高水平�！斑@說(shuō)明在產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)不斷調(diào)整的背景下，就業(yè)增長(zhǎng)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間聯(lián)動(dòng)不會(huì)是大起大落�！碧K海南表示。</p> <p>　　<strong>三產(chǎn)吸納勞力增強(qiáng)</strong></p> <p>　　國(guó)家統(tǒng)計(jì)局?jǐn)?shù)據(jù)顯示，一季度第三產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值56859億元，增長(zhǎng)8.3%，高于其他兩個(gè)產(chǎn)業(yè)。“今年一季度300萬(wàn)新增就業(yè)的數(shù)字說(shuō)明第三產(chǎn)業(yè)在吸納勞動(dòng)力上增強(qiáng)，經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)確實(shí)也在起變化�！碧K海南表示，“要是按照四個(gè)季度平均算下來(lái)，全年城鎮(zhèn)新增就業(yè)900萬(wàn)的目標(biāo)是可以實(shí)現(xiàn)的�！�</p> <p>　　“今年一季度GDP增長(zhǎng)7.7%中，有4.3個(gè)百分點(diǎn)是由最終消費(fèi)貢獻(xiàn)的，對(duì)GDP增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)率是55.5%;資本形成總額對(duì)GDP的貢獻(xiàn)率30.3%，拉動(dòng)GDP增長(zhǎng)2.3個(gè)百分點(diǎn);貨物和服務(wù)凈出口對(duì)GDP的貢獻(xiàn)率是14.2%，拉動(dòng)了1.1個(gè)百分點(diǎn)�！眹�(guó)家統(tǒng)計(jì)局發(fā)言人盛來(lái)運(yùn)說(shuō)，從結(jié)構(gòu)來(lái)看可以得出一個(gè)結(jié)論，中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長(zhǎng)主要靠?jī)?nèi)需拉動(dòng)，而且消費(fèi)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)在提升。</p> <p>　<strong>　重點(diǎn)在政策落實(shí)</strong></p> <p>　　“隨著外貿(mào)訂單的減少，農(nóng)民工就業(yè)的崗位也會(huì)隨之減少�！碧K海南還表示，特別是今年大學(xué)生畢業(yè)生就業(yè)壓力大，一下比去年增加了19萬(wàn)，這些都是今年面臨的就業(yè)難題。</p> <p>　　在促進(jìn)就業(yè)上，國(guó)家和地方也出了不少措施，《促進(jìn)就業(yè)規(guī)劃(2011-2015年)》早在2011年底就已經(jīng)發(fā)布，大學(xué)生就業(yè)、創(chuàng)業(yè)上也在多渠道拓展。</p> <p>　　“重點(diǎn)還是在抓好政策的落實(shí)。”蘇海南建議，以前的支教、支邊、大學(xué)生村官等政策還是要繼續(xù)落實(shí)，在拓寬大學(xué)生就業(yè)渠道上，發(fā)揮好創(chuàng)業(yè)促就業(yè)的作用，真正落實(shí)政策，給他們提供更加公平的經(jīng)營(yíng)環(huán)境并提供更多的幫助。對(duì)于出口型企業(yè)，蘇海南建議繼續(xù)堅(jiān)持外貿(mào)扶持政策，同時(shí)外向型企業(yè)要加快產(chǎn)品結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整，爭(zhēng)取獲得新的內(nèi)需訂單，使農(nóng)民工保持原有的就業(yè)機(jī)會(huì)。</p><script>s("content_relate");</script><p>【經(jīng)濟(jì)放緩就業(yè)能否頂?shù)米。俊肯嚓P(guān)文章：</p><p><a target="_blank" href="http://m.oriental01.com/lunwenzhaiyao/jingjijunshilunwen/20100705195236_203332.html" title="中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)能否逆風(fēng)飛揚(yáng)">中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)能否逆風(fēng)飛揚(yáng)</a><span>04-27</span></p><p><a target="_blank" href="http://m.oriental01.com/lunwenzhaiyao/jingjijunshilunwen/20100720202739_296102.html" title="我們的資源能否支撐經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展?">我們的資源能否支撐經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展?</a><span>04-30</span></p><p><a target="_blank" href="http://m.oriental01.com/lunwenzhaiyao/jingjijunshilunwen/20100729170014_360682.html" 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